Well argued! But I think there are other factors to consider here as well:
-the current “assets” (Lavine, Derozen, Vooch) are not a championship core. They’re not even a top 6 in the east core. They have no upside, so the only path to contention if we keep them is if Patrick Williams really does turn into Kawhi 2.0 and lonzo’s knee magically recovers… both of which seem unlikely.
- let’s say we bottom out and get the 6th pick and lose it to the magic, honestly that’s no different imo than losing the 14th pick to the magic, thinking “it’d be devastating to send out pick number 6” is real sunk cost thinking.
- in theory, we’d actually get assets back for selling Lavine, Derozen and Vooch (not to mention Caruso). Getting potential building blocks for future success is always useful.
I’m not saying sell the core for less than they’re worth just to blow it up… but if you can get value for them they absolutely should
Good points here, Nick -- and great to hear from you! I think they are two separate conversations that are clearly related. Blow it up vs. not blow it up is different than 'if we blow it up now, we can get the ORL pick back'. Recuperating the pick shouldn't have any type of motivation in what to do with the blow up vs. keep it together conversation. To me, that's why it's important to treat it like a sunk cost
Nice article. I also think they should trade to get better and continue building to keep this team together to see more positive results.
Well argued! But I think there are other factors to consider here as well:
-the current “assets” (Lavine, Derozen, Vooch) are not a championship core. They’re not even a top 6 in the east core. They have no upside, so the only path to contention if we keep them is if Patrick Williams really does turn into Kawhi 2.0 and lonzo’s knee magically recovers… both of which seem unlikely.
- let’s say we bottom out and get the 6th pick and lose it to the magic, honestly that’s no different imo than losing the 14th pick to the magic, thinking “it’d be devastating to send out pick number 6” is real sunk cost thinking.
- in theory, we’d actually get assets back for selling Lavine, Derozen and Vooch (not to mention Caruso). Getting potential building blocks for future success is always useful.
I’m not saying sell the core for less than they’re worth just to blow it up… but if you can get value for them they absolutely should
Good points here, Nick -- and great to hear from you! I think they are two separate conversations that are clearly related. Blow it up vs. not blow it up is different than 'if we blow it up now, we can get the ORL pick back'. Recuperating the pick shouldn't have any type of motivation in what to do with the blow up vs. keep it together conversation. To me, that's why it's important to treat it like a sunk cost
I think that’s spot on coach! I always appreciate your insights! Looking forward to another great draft season!